Opinion polling for the Australian federal election, 2013
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This article collates results of opinion polls that were conducted in relation to voting intentions of the Australian public in the lead-up to the Australian federal election, 2013.
Contents
Polling firms
Galaxy Research, Newspoll, and Nielsen Australia conduct telephone polls of federal voting intentions. Essential Research reports a rolling average of its two most recent polls, which are conducted each weekend using online surveys.
Through late February 2013, Roy Morgan Research released separate polls conducted by face-to-face interviews and telephone polling. Face-to-face polling was conducted each weekend, though the data published was usually an average of two weeks' polling. Telephone polls were conducted sporadically. Since the end of February 2013, Morgan has released a "multi-mode" poll, consisting of face-to-face, online, and SMS polling.[1]
All of the firms report two-party-preferred vote estimates calculated according to the flow of preferences at the last election. Roy Morgan additionally reports two-party preferred estimates calculated according to respondents' reported preferences (which is usually reported as the head line number in Roy Morgan publications). To ensure comparability between the results reported by different firms, the tables and charts below report only two-party-preferred vote estimates calculated according to the first method.
The polls reported here typically have sample sizes in excess of 1,000, with margins of error of approximately three per cent.
Voter intentions
Since the 2010 election, voters have been regularly polled as to which party they would vote for were an election held on the day of the survey: Labor (ALP), the Coalition, the Greens, or some other candidate. Each firm reports its calculation of the two-party preferred vote (TPP) based on the flow of preferences at the previous election.
Sources for Galaxy, Essential, and Nielsen are provided for each poll; Newspoll[2] and Morgan[3] maintain databases of their polling.
Graphical summary
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Data table
| Date | Firm | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | L/NP* | Green | Other | Labor | L/NP | |||
| 4–6 Sep 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 31.5% | 45% | 9.5% | 14% | 44.5% | 54.5% | |
| 5 Sep 2013 | ReachTEL[4] | 33.7% | 43.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 47% | 53 % | |
| 4–5 Sep 2013 | Nielsen[5] | 33% | 46% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 54% | |
| 3–5 Sep 2013 | Newspoll | 33% | 46% | 9% | 12% | 46% | 54% | |
| 4 Sep 2013 | ReachTEL[6] | 32.7% | 43.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 47% | 53 % | |
| 2–4 Sep 2013 | Galaxy[7] | 35% | 45% | 9% | 11% | 47% | 53% | |
| 1–4 Sep 2013 | Essential[e 1] | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | 48% | 52% | |
| 3 Sept 2013 | ReachTEL[8] | 35.3% | 44.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 30 Aug–1 Sep 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 34% | 43% | 11% | 12% | 48% | 52% | |
| 30 Aug–1 Sep 2013 | Newspoll | 33% | 46% | 10% | 11% | 46% | 54% | |
| 29 Aug–1 Sep 2013 | Essential[e 2] | 35% | 44% | 11% | 10% | 48% | 52% | |
| 28–29 Aug 2013 | Galaxy[9] | 35% | 46% | 10% | 9% | 47% | 53% | |
| 28–29 Aug 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 30.5% | 44% | 12% | 13.5% | 46% | 54% | |
| 26 Aug 2013 | ReachTEL[10] | 35.7% | 46.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 21–25 Aug 2013 | Essential[e 3] | 38% | 43% | 11% | 9% | 50% | 50% | |
| 23–25 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 37% | 47% | 9% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 23–25 Aug 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 34.5% | 45% | 11% | 9.5% | 47.5% | 52.5% | |
| 18–22 Aug 2013 | Nielsen[11] | 35% | 47% | 10% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 16–18 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 34% | 47% | 9% | 10% | 46% | 54% | |
| 16–18 Aug 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 36.5% | 44.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 48% | 52% | |
| 16–18 Aug 2013 | AMR[12] | 38% | 41% | 10% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| 14–18 Aug 2013 | Essential[e 4] | 40% | 44% | 8% | 8% | 50% | 50% | |
| 14–15 Aug 2013 | Galaxy[13] | 36% | 45% | 10% | 9% | 48% | 52% | |
| 12–13 Aug 2013 | Morgan (phone)[14] | 31% | 52% | 9% | 8% | 43% | 57% | |
| 9–12 Aug 2013 | Essential[e 5] | 39% | 43% | 8% | 10% | 49% | 51% | |
| 9–11 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 35% | 46% | 11% | 8% | 48% | 52% | |
| 9–11 Aug 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 36.5% | 44% | 10.5% | 9% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 10 Aug 2013 | ReachTEL[15] | 36.9% | 46.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 47% | 53% | |
| 7–9 Aug 2013 | Galaxy[16] | 38% | 45% | 10% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 6–8 Aug 2013 | Nielsen[17] | 37% | 46% | 10% | 8% | 48% | 52% | |
| 4 Aug 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 37.5% | 45.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 48% | 52% | |
| 2–4 Aug 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 38% | 43% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 49.5% | 50.5% | |
| 2–4 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 37% | 44% | 9% | 10% | 48% | 52% | |
| 1–4 Aug 2013 | Essential[e 6] | 38% | 43% | 9% | 10% | 49% | 51% | |
| 26–28 Jul 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 38.5% | 41.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 50.5% | 49.5% | |
| 25–28 Jul 2013 | Essential[e 7] | 39% | 44% | 9% | 8% | 49% | 51% | |
| 23–25 Jul 2013 | Galaxy[19] | 40% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 50% | 50% | |
| 18–22 Jul 2013 | Essential[e 8] | 39% | 45% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% | |
| 19–21 Jul 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 41.5% | 41% | 9% | 8.5% | 52% | 48% | |
| 19–21 Jul 2013 | Newspoll | 37% | 45% | 10% | 8% | 48% | 52% | |
| 18 Jul 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 39.3% | 45.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 49% | 51% | |
| 12–14 Jul 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 42% | 41% | 7% | 10% | 51.5% | 48.5% | |
| 11–14 Jul 2013 | Essential[e 9] | 39% | 46% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 52% | |
| 11–13 Jul 2013 | Nielsen[20] | 39% | 44% | 9% | 8% | 50% | 50% | |
| 5–8 Jul 2013 | AMR[12] | 42% | 43% | 7% | 8% | 51% | 49% | |
| 5–7 Jul 2013 | Newspoll | 38% | 42% | 9% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| 5–7 Jul 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 41.5% | 39.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
| 4–7 Jul 2013 | Essential[e 10] | 38% | 46% | 8% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 28–30 Jun 2013 | Newspoll | 35% | 43% | 11% | 11% | 49% | 51% | |
| 28–30 Jun 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 39.5% | 40.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 51% | 49% | |
| 27–30 Jun 2013 | Essential[e 11] | 36% | 46% | 9% | 9% | 47% | 53% | |
| 27–28 Jun 2013 | Galaxy[21] | 38% | 44% | 10% | 8% | 49% | 51% | |
| 27 Jun 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 38.3% | 45.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 48% | 52% | |
| 21–23 Jun 2013 | Newspoll | 29% | 48% | 9% | 14% | 43% | 57% | |
| 21–23 Jun 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 30.5% | 47% | 9% | 13.5% | 43.5% | 56.5% | |
| 20–23 Jun 2013 | Essential[e 12] | 34% | 47% | 8% | 11% | 45% | 55% | |
| 14–16 Jun 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 33% | 44.5% | 9% | 13.5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 13–16 Jun 2013 | Essential[e 13] | 35% | 47% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 13–15 Jun 2013 | Nielsen[22] | 29% | 47% | 11% | 12% | 43% | 57% | |
| 11–13 Jun 2013 | Galaxy[23] | 32% | 47% | 11% | 10% | 45% | 55% | |
| 7–10 Jun 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 31% | 46% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 44% | 56% | |
| 6–10 Jun 2013 | Essential[e 14] | 36% | 47% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 31 May–2 Jun 2013 | Newspoll | 30% | 49% | 9% | 12% | 42% | 58% | |
| 31 May–2 Jun 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 31.5% | 45.5% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 30 May–2 Jun 2013 | Essential[e 15] | 35% | 48% | 8% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 24–26 May 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 33.5% | 45.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 23–26 May 2013 | Essential[e 16] | 34% | 48% | 8% | 10% | 45% | 55% | |
| 17–19 May 2013 | Newspoll | 31% | 46% | 9% | 14% | 44% | 56% | |
| 17–19 May 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 32% | 45.5% | 10% | 12.5% | 45% | 55% | |
| 16–19 May 2013 | Essential[e 17] | 35% | 48% | 8% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 16–18 May 2013 | Nielsen[24] | 32% | 44% | 11% | 13% | 46% | 54% | |
| 15–16 May 2013 | Galaxy[25] | 34% | 46% | 10% | 10% | 46% | 54% | |
| 10–12 May 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 32% | 46.5% | 9.5% | 12% | 44% | 56% | |
| 9–12 May 2013 | Essential[e 18] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 10% | 45% | 55% | |
| 3–5 May 2013 | Newspoll | 31% | 47% | 10% | 12% | 44% | 56% | |
| 3–5 May 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 32% | 46% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 44% | 56% | |
| 2–5 May 2013 | Essential[e 19] | 33% | 48% | 9% | 10% | 44% | 56% | |
| 2 May 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 29.3% | 48.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 42% | 58% | |
| 26–28 Apr 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 30.5% | 48% | 11% | 10.5% | 43.5% | 56.5% | |
| 25–28 Apr 2013 | Essential[e 20] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 18–22 Apr 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 32.5% | 44% | 10.5% | 13% | 46% | 54% | |
| 18–22 Apr 2013 | Essential[e 21] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 19–21 Apr 2013 | Newspoll | 32% | 46% | 10% | 12% | 45% | 55% | |
| 11–14 Apr 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 32% | 47.5% | 10.5% | 10% | 44% | 56% | |
| 11–14 Apr 2013 | Essential[e 22] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 11–13 Apr 2013 | Nielsen[26] | 29% | 49% | 12% | 11% | 43% | 57% | |
| 9–11 Apr 2013 | Galaxy[27] | 33% | 47% | 12% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 2 May 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 31.3% | 49.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 43% | 57% | |
| 5–7 Apr 2013 | Newspoll | 32% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 4–7 Apr 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 31% | 46.5% | 10% | 12.5% | 44% | 56% | |
| 4–7 Apr 2013 | Essential[e 23] | 32% | 49% | 9% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 29 Mar–1 Apr 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 30% | 49% | 11% | 10% | 42.5% | 57.5% | |
| 28 Mar–1 Apr 2013 | Essential[e 24] | 31% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 22–24 Mar 2013 | Newspoll | 30% | 50% | 10% | 10% | 42% | 58% | |
| 21–24 Mar 2013 | Essential[e 25] | 33% | 47% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 22–23 Mar 2013 | Galaxy[28] | 32% | 47% | 12% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 21–24 Mar 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 30.5% | 46.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 44% | 56% | |
| 22–25 Mar 2013 | AMR[12] | 33% | 49% | 9% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 14–17 Mar 2013 | Essential[e 26] | 35% | 47% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 14–17 Mar 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 33% | 46% | 11% | 10.5% | 46% | 54% | |
| 14–16 Mar 2013 | Nielsen[29] | 31% | 47% | 10% | 12% | 44% | 56% | |
| 7–10 Mar 2013 | Essential[e 27] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 7–10 Mar 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 31.5% | 47% | 11% | 10.5% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 8–10 Mar 2013 | Newspoll | 34% | 44% | 11% | 11% | 48% | 52% | |
| 5–7 Mar 2013 | Galaxy[30] | 32% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 28 Feb–3 Mar 2013 | Essential[e 28] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 28 Feb–3 Mar 2013 | Morgan (multi) | 33% | 45% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 46% | 54% | |
| 21–24 Feb 2013 | Essential[e 29] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 16–17/23–24 Feb 2013 | Morgan (face) | 33.5% | 44% | 10% | 12.5% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 22–24 Feb 2013 | Newspoll | 31% | 47% | 11% | 11% | 45% | 55% | |
| 14–17 Feb 2013 | Essential[e 30] | 35% | 47% | 10% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 14–16 Feb 2013 | Nielsen[29] | 30% | 47% | 11% | 12% | 44% | 56% | |
| 7–10 Feb 2013 | Essential[e 31] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 9–10 Feb 2013 | Morgan (face) | 33.5% | 45% | 9% | 12.5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 1–4 Feb 2013 | Essential[e 32] | 34% | 48% | 10% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 2–3 Feb 2013 | Morgan (face) | 38.5% | 42.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 1–3 Feb 2013 | Newspoll | 32% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 44% | 56% | |
| 1–3 Feb 2013 | Galaxy[30] | 35% | 48% | 10% | 7% | 46% | 54% | |
| 23–28 Jan 2013 | Essential[e 33] | 35% | 48% | 10% | 7% | 46% | 54% | |
| 19–20/26–27 Jan 2013 | Morgan (face) | 36% | 39% | 12% | 13% | 49.5% | 50.5% | |
| 16–20 Jan 2013 | Essential[e 34] | 36% | 48% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 9–13 Jan 2013 | Essential[e 35] | 36% | 48% | 8% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 11–13 Jan 2013 | Newspoll | 38% | 44% | 9% | 9% | 49% | 51% | |
| 5–6/12–13 Jan 2013 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 41.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 49% | 51% | |
| 12–16 Dec 2012 | Essential[e 36] | 36% | 48% | 8% | 8% | 45% | 55% | |
| 8–9/15–16 Dec 2012 | Morgan (face) | 40% | 37.5% | 12% | 10.5% | 53.5% | 46.5% | |
| 13–15 Dec 2012 | Nielsen[29] | 35% | 43% | 10% | 12% | 48% | 52% | |
| 5–9 Dec 2012 | Essential[e 37] | 36% | 48% | 8% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 7–9 Dec 2012 | Newspoll | 32% | 46% | 11% | 11% | 46% | 54% | |
| 28 Nov–2 Dec 2012 | Essential[e 38] | 37% | 47% | 9% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 24–25 Nov/1–2 Dec 2012 | Morgan (face) | 36% | 40.5% | 10.5% | 13% | 49.5% | 50.5% | |
| 29–30 Nov 2012 | Galaxy[30] | 34% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 46% | 54% | |
| 27–29 Nov 2012 | Morgan (phone) | 36.5% | 44.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 47.5% | 52.5% | |
| 23–25 Nov 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 43% | 11% | 10% | 49% | 51% | |
| 21–25 Nov 2012 | Essential[e 39] | 36% | 47% | 10% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 14–18 Nov 2012 | Essential[e 40] | 36% | 46% | 10% | 9% | 47% | 53% | |
| 10–11/17–18 Nov 2012 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 38.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 49% | 51% | |
| 15–17 Nov 2012 | Nielsen[29] | 34% | 45% | 12% | 10% | 47% | 53% | |
| 9–11 Nov 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 43% | 10% | 11% | 49% | 51% | |
| 7–11 Nov 2012 | Essential[e 41] | 37% | 45% | 9% | 8% | 48% | 52% | |
| 2–6 Nov 2012 | Essential[e 42] | 37% | 46% | 9% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 2–4 Nov 2012 | Galaxy[31] | 35% | 47% | 11% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 27–28 Oct/3–4 Nov 2012 | Morgan (face) | 35.5% | 43% | 10% | 11.5% | 48% | 52% | |
| 26–28 Oct 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 41% | 10% | 13% | 50% | 50% | |
| 25–28 Oct 2012 | Essential[e 43] | 36% | 48% | 9% | 7% | 46% | 54% | |
| 13–14/20–21 Oct 2012 | Morgan (face) | 37.5% | 38.5% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 42.5% | 57.5% | |
| 17–21 Oct 2012 | Essential[e 44] | 36% | 47% | 9% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 18–20 Oct 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 34% | 43% | 11% | 12% | 48% | 52% | |
| 10–14 Oct 2012 | Essential[e 45] | 36% | 47% | 9% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 5–7 Oct 2012 | Newspoll | 33% | 45% | 10% | 12% | 46% | 54% | |
| 3–7 Oct 2012 | Essential[e 46] | 37% | 47% | 9% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 29–30 Sep/6–7 Oct 2012 | Morgan (face) | 37% | 43% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 49% | 51% | |
| 26–30 Sep 2012 | Essential[e 47] | 36% | 47% | 9% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 22–23 Sep 2012 | Morgan (face) | 37.5% | 41.5% | 10% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| 19–23 Sep 2012 | Essential[e 48] | 35% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 17–20 Sep 2012 | Morgan (phone) | 39.5% | 47% | 8% | 5.5% | 47.5% | 52.5% | |
| 14–16 Sep 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 41% | 12% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| 12–16 Sep 2012 | Essential[e 49] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 8–9/15–16 Sep 2012 | Morgan (face) | 35% | 40.5% | 12% | 12.5% | 49.5% | 50.5% | |
| 13–15 Sep 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 34% | 45% | 10% | 11% | 47% | 53% | |
| 29 Aug–2 Sep 2012 | Essential[e 50] | 34% | 48% | 9% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 31 Aug–2 Sep 2012 | Newspoll | 33% | 46% | 8% | 13% | 45% | 55% | |
| 1–2 Sep 2012 | Morgan (face) | 34.5% | 41.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 22–26 Aug 2012 | Essential[e 51] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 23–25 Aug 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 32% | 45% | 11% | 13% | 46% | 54% | |
| 15–19 Aug 2012 | Essential[e 52] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 17–19 Aug 2012 | Newspoll | 35% | 45% | 11% | 9% | 47% | 53% | |
| 11–12/18–19 Aug 2012 | Morgan (face) | 34.5% | 44% | 10% | 11.5% | 47% | 53% | |
| 8–12 Aug 2012 | Essential[e 53] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 3–5 Aug 2012 | Newspoll | 33% | 45% | 10% | 12% | 46% | 54% | |
| 1–5 Aug 2012 | Essential[e 54] | 33% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 28–29 Jul/4–5 Aug 2012 | Morgan (face) | 32% | 43.5% | 11.5% | 13% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 25–29 Jul 2012 | Essential[e 55] | 33% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 45% | 55% | |
| 26–28 Jul 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 30% | 47% | 12% | 11% | 44% | 56% | |
| 20–22 Jul 2012 | Newspoll | 28% | 46% | 11% | 15% | 44% | 56% | |
| 18–22 Jul 2012 | Essential[e 56] | 33% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 14–15/21–22 Jul 2012 | Morgan (face) | 31.5% | 43% | 12% | 13.5% | 46% | 54% | |
| 11–15 Jul 2012 | Essential[e 57] | 31% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 6–8 Jul 2012 | Newspoll | 31% | 48% | 11% | 10% | 44% | 56% | |
| 4–8 Jul 2012 | Essential[e 58] | 31% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 30 Jun–1/7–8 Jul 2012 | Morgan (face) | 29.5% | 43% | 14.5% | 13% | 46% | 54% | |
| 27 Jun–1 Jul 2012 | Essential[e 59] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 22–24 Jun 2012 | Newspoll | 30% | 46% | 12% | 12% | 45% | 55% | |
| 20–24 Jun 2012 | Essential[e 60] | 33% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 16–17/23–24 Jun 2012 | Morgan (face) | 29.5% | 43% | 14.5% | 13% | 46% | 54% | |
| 13–17 Jun 2012 | Essential[e 61] | 33% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 15–17 Jun 2012 | Galaxy[31] | 31% | 49% | 12% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 6–11 Jun 2012 | Essential[e 62] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 9–10 Jun 2012 | Morgan (face) | 33% | 42.5% | 12.5% | 12% | 48% | 52% | |
| 7–10 Jun 2012 | Newspoll | 31% | 44% | 14% | 11% | 46% | 54% | |
| 2–3 Jun 2012 | Morgan (face) | 32.5% | 45% | 10.5% | 12% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 31 May–2 Jun 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 26% | 48% | 14% | 12% | 43% | 57% | |
| 30 May–3 Jun 2012 | Essential[e 63] | 33% | 50% | 10% | 7% | 44% | 56% | |
| 26–27 May 2012 | Morgan (face) | 27.5% | 49% | 13% | 10.5% | 42% | 58% | |
| 23–27 May 2012 | Essential[e 64] | 33% | 50% | 10% | 7% | 43% | 57% | |
| 25–27 May 2012 | Newspoll | 32% | 46% | 12% | 10% | 46% | 54% | |
| 16–20 May 2012 | Essential[e 65] | 33% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 19–20 May 2012 | Morgan (face) | 32% | 45.5% | 10.5% | 12% | 45% | 55% | |
| 12–13 May 2012 | Morgan (face) | 30.5% | 46% | 12% | 11.5% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 11–13 May 2012 | Newspoll | 30% | 45% | 12% | 13% | 45% | 55% | |
| 9–13 May 2012 | Essential[e 66] | 30% | 50% | 11% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 9–10 May 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 28% | 49% | 12% | 12% | 42% | 58% | |
| 9–10 May 2012 | Morgan (phone) | 29% | 50.5% | 10% | 10.5% | 42% | 58% | |
| 5–6 May 2012 | Morgan (face) | 29.5% | 45.5% | 12% | 13% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 2–6 May 2012 | Essential[e 67] | 29% | 50% | 11% | 9% | 42% | 58% | |
| 27–29 Apr 2012 | Newspoll | 27% | 51% | 11% | 11% | 41% | 59% | |
| 27–29 Apr 2012 | Galaxy[31] | 30% | 49% | 13% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 25–29 Apr 2012 | Essential[e 68] | 31% | 50% | 11% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 21–22 Apr 2012 | Morgan (face) | 30% | 47.5% | 12% | 10.5% | 44% | 56% | |
| 18–22 Apr 2012 | Essential[e 69] | 31% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 17–19 Apr 2012 | Morgan (phone) | 30% | 47.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 44% | 56% | |
| 13–15 Apr 2012 | Newspoll | 29% | 48% | 12% | 11% | 44% | 56% | |
| 11–15 Apr 2012 | Essential[e 70] | 31% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 7–8/14–15 Apr 2012 | Morgan (face) | 31% | 46.5% | 12.5% | 10% | 45% | 55% | |
| 4–9 Apr 2012 | Essential[e 71] | 31% | 50% | 11% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 31 Mar–1 Apr 2012 | Morgan (face) | 32% | 45.5% | 13% | 10.5% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 28 Mar–1 Apr 2012 | Essential[e 72] | 33% | 48% | 11% | 8% | 45% | 55% | |
| 29–31 Mar 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 27% | 47% | 13% | 12% | 43% | 57% | |
| 21–25 Mar 2012 | Essential[e 73] | 34% | 47% | 10% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 24–25 Mar 2012 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 45% | 12.5% | 6% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 23–25 Mar 2012 | Newspoll | 28% | 47% | 11% | 14% | 43% | 57% | |
| 14–18 Mar 2012 | Essential[e 74] | 32% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 10–11/17–18 Mar 2012 | Morgan (face) | 37% | 45.5% | 10.5% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 9–11 Mar 2012 | Newspoll | 31% | 43% | 12% | 14% | 47% | 53% | |
| 7–11 Mar 2012 | Essential[e 75] | 31% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 3–4 Mar 2012 | Morgan (face) | 39% | 43.5% | 10% | 7.5% | 50% | 50% | |
| 29 Feb–4 Mar 2012 | Essential[e 76] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 25–26 Feb 2012 | Morgan (face) | 37.5% | 42.5% | 11% | 9% | 50% | 50% | |
| 23–26 Feb 2012 | Newspoll | 35% | 45% | 11% | 9% | 47% | 53% | |
| 22–26 Feb 2012 | Essential[e 77] | 32% | 49% | 11% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 23–24 Feb 2012 | Galaxy[34] | 34% | 47% | 12% | 7% | 46% | 54% | |
| 22–23 Feb 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 34% | 44% | 12% | 11% | 47% | 53% | |
| 15–19 Feb 2012 | Essential[e 78] | 33% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 11–12/18–19 Feb 2012 | Morgan (face) | 37% | 41.5% | 14.5% | 7% | 51.5% | 48.5% | |
| 10–12 Feb 2012 | Newspoll | 32% | 46% | 11% | 11% | 45% | 55% | |
| 8–10 Feb 2012 | Essential[e 79] | 34% | 47% | 10% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 7–8 Feb 2012 | Morgan (phone) | 37% | 41.5% | 14.5% | 7% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 4–5 Feb 2012 | Morgan (face) | 38.5% | 45.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 1–5 Feb 2012 | Essential[e 80] | 33% | 47% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 2–4 Feb 2012 | Nielsen[35] | 33% | 45% | 13% | 9% | 47% | 53% | |
| 28–29 Jan 2012 | Morgan (face) | 39.5% | 41.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 51% | 49% | |
| 27–29 Jan 2012 | Newspoll | 30% | 45% | 12% | 13% | 46% | 54% | |
| 25–29 Jan 2012 | Essential[e 81] | 34% | 47% | 10% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 27–28 Jan 2012 | Galaxy[34] | 34% | 48% | 12% | 6% | 46% | 54% | |
| 18–22 Jan 2012 | Essential[e 82] | 35% | 48% | 10% | 7% | 46% | 54% | |
| 14–15/21–22 Jan 2012 | Morgan (face) | 38.5% | 42.5% | 12% | 7% | 51% | 49% | |
| 17–18 Jan 2012 | Morgan (phone) | 35.5% | 46.5% | 9% | 9% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 11–15 Jan 2012 | Essential[e 83] | 35% | 48% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 7–8 Jan 2012 | Morgan (face) | 37% | 45% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 14–18 Dec 2011 | Essential[e 84] | 35% | 47% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 10–11/17–18 Dec 2011 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 43% | 13% | 7.5% | 50% | 50% | |
| 7–11 Dec 2011 | Essential[e 85] | 34% | 48% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 8–10 Dec 2011 | Nielsen[35] | 29% | 49% | 11% | 11% | 43% | 57% | |
| 2–4 Dec 2011 | Newspoll | 31% | 44% | 13% | 12% | 46% | 54% | |
| 30 Nov–4 Dec 2011 | Essential[e 86] | 34% | 47% | 10% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 26–27 Nov/3–4 Dec 2011 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 43% | 13% | 7.5% | 47% | 53% | |
| 23–27 Nov 2011 | Essential[e 87] | 34% | 47% | 11% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 19–20 Nov 2011 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 45.5% | 12% | 6% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 18–20 Nov 2011 | Newspoll | 30% | 48% | 10% | 12% | 43% | 57% | |
| 16–20 Nov 2011 | Essential[e 88] | 34% | 48% | 10% | 7% | 45% | 55% | |
| 9–13 Nov 2011 | Essential[e 89] | 35% | 47% | 10% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 5–6/12–13 Nov 2011 | Morgan (face) | 34.5% | 47% | 11.5% | 7% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 10–12 Nov 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 30% | 45% | 14% | 12% | 45% | 55% | |
| 3–6 Nov 2011 | Newspoll | 32% | 44% | 12% | 12% | 47% | 53% | |
| 2–6 Nov 2011 | Essential[e 90] | 35% | 46% | 9% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 2–3 Nov 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 34% | 45% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 47.5% | 52.5% | |
| 26–30 Oct 2011 | Essential[e 91] | 34% | 47% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 29–30 Oct 2011 | Morgan (face) | 34% | 46.5% | 13.5% | 6% | 47% | 53% | |
| 25–26 Oct 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 31% | 47% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 45% | 55% | |
| 22–23 Oct 2011 | Morgan (face) | 35% | 49.5% | 10.5% | 5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 21–23 Oct 2011 | Newspoll | 29% | 45% | 15% | 11% | 46% | 54% | |
| 19–23 Oct 2011 | Essential[e 92] | 32% | 48% | 11% | 8% | 45% | 55% | |
| 15–16Oct 2011 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 44% | 10% | 9.5% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 14–16 Oct 2011 | Galaxy[34] | 29% | 51% | 12% | 8% | 42% | 58% | |
| 12–16 Oct 2011 | Essential[e 93] | 33% | 48% | 11% | 8% | 45% | 55% | |
| 13–15 Oct 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 30% | 48% | 12% | 10% | 43% | 57% | |
| 8–9 Oct 2011 | Morgan (face) | 38.5% | 43.5% | 11% | 7% | 50% | 50% | |
| 7–9 Oct 2011 | Newspoll | 29% | 49% | 12% | 10% | 43% | 57% | |
| 4–9 Oct 2011 | Essential[e 94] | 33% | 48% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 27 Sep–2 Oct 2011 | Essential[e 95] | 33% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 24–25 Sep/1–2 Oct 2011 | Morgan (face) | 35.5% | 46.5% | 10% | 8% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 20–25 Sep 2011 | Essential[e 96] | 32% | 49% | 12% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 16–18 Sep 2011 | Newspoll | 26% | 48% | 13% | 13% | 42% | 58% | |
| 13–18 Sep 2011 | Essential[e 97] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 10–11/17–18 Sep 2011 | Morgan (face) | 35.5% | 46.5% | 10% | 8% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 7–11 Sep 2011 | Essential[e 98] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 10% | 44% | 56% | |
| 8–10 Sep 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 27% | 48% | 13% | 12% | 42% | 58% | |
| 2–4 Sep 2011 | Newspoll | 27% | 50% | 12% | 11% | 41% | 59% | |
| 31 Aug–4 Sep 2011 | Essential[e 99] | 30% | 49% | 11% | 10% | 43% | 57% | |
| 27–28 Aug/3–4 Sep 2011 | Morgan (face) | 32.5% | 46.5% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 24–28 Aug 2011 | Essential[e 100] | 32% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 19–21 Aug 2011 | Newspoll | 27% | 47% | 14% | 12% | 43% | 57% | |
| 17–21 Aug 2011 | Essential[e 101] | 32% | 50% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 13–14/20–21 Aug 2011 | Morgan (face) | 32.5% | 49.5% | 11% | 7% | 44.5% | 55.5% | |
| 10–14 Aug 2011 | Essential[e 102] | 31% | 50% | 10% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 11–13 Aug 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 28% | 48% | 12% | 11% | 42% | 58% | |
| 9–10 Aug 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 29.5% | 49% | 12% | 9.5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 5–7 Aug 2011 | Newspoll | 30% | 50% | 10% | 10% | 43% | 57% | |
| 3–7 Aug 2011 | Essential[e 103] | 31% | 50% | 10% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 30–31 Jul/6–7 Aug 2011 | Morgan (face) | 34.5% | 47.5% | 12% | 6% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| c. 3 Aug 2011 | Galaxy[37] | 31% | 48% | 13% | 8% | 44% | 56% | |
| 27–31 Jul 2011 | Essential[e 104] | 31% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 22–24 Jul 2011 | Newspoll | 29% | 47% | 13% | 11% | 44% | 56% | |
| 20–24 Jul 2011 | Essential[e 105] | 32% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 16–17/23–24 Jul 2011 | Morgan (face) | 34.5% | 47% | 12% | 6.5% | 47% | 53% | |
| 13–17 Jul 2011 | Essential[e 106] | 31% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 14–16 Jul 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 26% | 51% | 11% | 15% | 39% | 61% | |
| 13–14 Jul 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 27.5% | 52.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 40% | 60% | |
| 9–10 Jul 2011 | Morgan (face) | 33.5% | 48% | 11.5% | 7% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 8–10 Jul 2011 | Newspoll | 27% | 49% | 12% | 12% | 42% | 58% | |
| 6–10 Jul 2011 | Essential[e 107] | 30% | 50% | 11% | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 29 Jun–3 Jul 2011 | Essential[e 108] | 32% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 44% | 56% | |
| 25–26 Jun/1–2 Jul 2011 | Morgan (face) | 31.5% | 49% | 11.5% | 8% | 43.5% | 56.5% | |
| 24–26 Jun 2011 | Newspoll | 30% | 46% | 11% | 13% | 45% | 55% | |
| 22–26 Jun 2011 | Essential[e 109] | 32% | 48% | 11% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 11–12/18–19 Jun 2011 | Morgan (face) | 35% | 46.5% | 11.5% | 7% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 15–19 Jun 2011 | Essential[e 110] | 32% | 47% | 12% | 9% | 45% | 55% | |
| 14–16 Jun 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 27% | 49% | 12% | 12% | 41% | 59% | |
| 8–13 Jun 2011 | Essential[e 111] | 34% | 46% | 12% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 10–12 Jun 2011 | Newspoll | 31% | 46% | 11% | 12% | 45% | 55% | |
| 4–5 Jun 2011 | Morgan (face) | 33.5% | 46.5% | 12% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 1–5 Jun 2011 | Essential[e 112] | 34% | 46% | 12% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 31 May–2 Jun 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 30% | 50% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 42% | 58% | |
| 25–29 May 2011 | Essential[e 113] | 34% | 47% | 12% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 27–29 May 2011 | Newspoll | 34% | 44% | 14% | 8% | 48% | 52% | |
| 21–22/28–29 May 2011 | Morgan (face) | 36% | 45.5% | 12% | 6.5% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 18–22 May 2011 | Essential[e 114] | 34% | 46% | 12% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 14–15 May 2011 | Morgan (face) | 36% | 44.5% | 13% | 6.5% | 48.5% | 51.5% | |
| 13–15 May 2011 | Newspoll | 33% | 46% | 10% | 11% | 46% | 54% | |
| 11–15 May 2011 | Essential[e 115] | 36% | 46% | 11% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 12–14 May 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 31% | 47% | 10% | 13% | 44% | 56% | |
| 7–8 May 2011 | Morgan (face) | 34% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 4–8 May 2011 | Essential[e 116] | 35% | 47% | 10% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 3–4 May 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 34% | 46% | 11% | 9% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 29 Apr–1 May 2011 | Newspoll | 33% | 44% | 12% | 11% | 47% | 53% | |
| 28 Apr–1 May 2011 | Essential[e 117] | 35% | 47% | 9% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 23–24/30 Apr–1 May 2011 | Morgan (face) | 37% | 46% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 48% | 52% | |
| 20–26 Apr 2011 | Essential[e 118] | 35% | 47% | 10% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 13–17 Apr 2011 | Essential[e 119] | 35% | 47% | 11% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 9–10/16–17 Apr 2011 | Morgan (face) | 35% | 46% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 47% | 53% | |
| 14–16 Apr 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 31% | 47% | 12% | 11% | 44% | 56% | |
| 6–10 Apr 2011 | Essential[e 120] | 35% | 46% | 11% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 2–3 Apr 2011 | Morgan (face) | 36.5% | 48% | 9.5% | 6% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 1–3 Apr 2011 | Newspoll | 32% | 45% | 12% | 12% | 45% | 55% | |
| 30 Mar–3 Apr 2011 | Essential[e 121] | 36% | 46% | 10% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 26–27 Mar 2011 | Morgan (face) | 35.5% | 47% | 11.5% | 6% | 47% | 53% | |
| 23–27 Mar 2011 | Essential[e 122] | 37% | 46% | 10% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 22–24 Mar 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 34.5% | 47% | 10% | 8.5% | 46% | 54% | |
| 19–20 Mar 2011 | Morgan (face) | 39.5% | 40% | 12.5% | 8% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
| 18–20 Mar 2011 | Newspoll | 36% | 40% | 12% | 12% | 51% | 49% | |
| 16–20 Mar 2011 | Essential[e 123] | 36% | 46% | 10% | 8% | 47% | 53% | |
| 16–17 Mar 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 35.5% | 42.5% | 12% | 10% | 49% | 51% | |
| 12–13 Mar 2011 | Morgan (face) | 38% | 44.5% | 11.5% | 6% | 49.5% | 50.5% | |
| 9–13 Mar 2011 | Essential[e 124] | 35% | 47% | 10% | 8% | 46% | 54% | |
| 10–12 Mar 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 33% | 45% | 12% | 10% | 46% | 54% | |
| 8–10 Mar 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 31.5% | 47.5% | 10% | 11% | 44% | 56% | |
| 5–6 Mar 2011 | Morgan (face) | 37% | 46.5% | 9.5% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 4–6 Mar 2011 | Newspoll | 30% | 45% | 15% | 10% | 46% | 54% | |
| 2–6 Mar 2011 | Essential[e 125] | 36% | 47% | 10% | 7% | 47% | 53% | |
| 26–27 Feb 2011 | Morgan (face) | 41% | 41% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 53.5% | 46.5% | |
| 22–27 Feb 2011 | Essential[e 126] | 37% | 45% | 10% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 21–23 Feb 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 36% | 45.5% | 9.5% | 9% | 47% | 53% | |
| 18–20 Feb 2011 | Newspoll | 36% | 41% | 13% | 10% | 50% | 50% | |
| 15–20 Feb 2011 | Essential[e 127] | 39% | 43% | 11% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 12–13/19–20 Feb 2011 | Morgan (face) | 39.5% | 43% | 11.5% | 6% | 51% | 49% | |
| 8–13 Feb 2011 | Essential[e 128] | 40% | 44% | 10% | 6% | 50% | 50% | |
| 10–12 Feb 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 32% | 46% | 12% | 9% | 46% | 54% | |
| 4–6 Feb 2011 | Newspoll | 32% | 44% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 52% | |
| 1–6 Feb 2011 | Essential[e 129] | 38% | 46% | 10% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 29–30 Jan/5–6 Feb 2011 | Morgan (face) | 39% | 43% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 51.5% | 48.5% | |
| 1–3 Feb 2011 | Morgan (phone) | 35% | 42.5% | 12% | 10.5% | 49% | 51% | |
| 25–30 Jan 2011 | Essential[e 130] | 37% | 45% | 11% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 18–23 Jan 2011 | Essential[e 131] | 37% | 45% | 11% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 15–16/22–23 Jan 2011 | Morgan (face) | 40.5% | 41.5% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
| 11–16 Jan 2011 | Essential[e 132] | 38% | 46% | 10% | 6% | 48% | 52% | |
| 8–9 Jan 2011 | Morgan (face) | 38.5% | 44% | 13% | 4.5% | 50.5% | 49.5% | |
| 14–19 Dec 2010 | Essential[e 133] | 38% | 46% | 10% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 11–12 Dec 2010 | Morgan (face) | 38% | 43% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 50% | 50% | |
| 8–12 Dec 2010 | Morgan (phone) | 31% | 46% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | |
| 7–12 Dec 2010 | Essential[e 134] | 38% | 46% | 10% | 7% | 48% | 52% | |
| 4–5 Dec 2010 | Morgan (face) | 40.5% | 40.5% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 53% | 47% | |
| 3–5 Dec 2010 | Newspoll | 34% | 41% | 14% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| 30 Nov–5 Dec 2010 | Essential[e 135] | 38% | 45% | 11% | 6% | 49% | 51% | |
| 23–28 Nov 2010 | Essential[e 136] | 38% | 44% | 11% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 20–21/27–28 Nov 2010 | Morgan (face) | 40.5% | 42% | 12% | 5.5% | 52.5% | 47.5% | |
| 19–21 Nov 2010 | Newspoll | 36% | 39% | 14% | 11% | 52% | 48% | |
| 16–21 Nov 2010 | Essential[e 137] | 38% | 45% | 10% | 8% | 49% | 51% | |
| 18–20 Nov 2010 | Nielsen[38] | 35% | 43% | 13% | 8% | 49% | 51% | |
| 9–14 Nov 2010 | Essential[e 138] | 39% | 45% | 10% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 6–7/13–14 Nov 2010 | Morgan (face) | 41% | 40% | 12% | 7% | 54% | 46% | |
| 5–7 Nov 2010 | Newspoll | 34% | 43% | 13% | 10% | 48% | 52% | |
| 2–7 Nov 2010 | Essential[e 139] | 39% | 46% | 8% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 26–31 Oct 2010 | Essential[e 140] | 41% | 44% | 8% | 7% | 50% | 50% | |
| 23–24/30–31 Oct 2010 | Morgan (face) | 43% | 40.5% | 10.5% | 6% | 54% | 46% | |
| 22–24 Oct 2010 | Newspoll | 33% | 43% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 52% | |
| 19–24 Oct 2010 | Essential[e 141] | 41% | 44% | 8% | 7% | 50% | 50% | |
| 21–23 Oct 2010 | Nielsen[38] | 34% | 43% | 14% | 8% | 49% | 51% | |
| 12–17 Oct 2010 | Essential[e 142] | 40% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 50% | 50% | |
| 9–10/16–17 Oct 2010 | Morgan (face) | 43% | 40.5% | 10.5% | 6% | 54% | 46% | |
| 8–10 Oct 2010 | Newspoll | 35% | 42% | 14% | 9% | 50% | 50% | |
| 5–10 Oct 2010 | Essential[e 143] | 41% | 44% | 8% | 7% | 50% | 50% | |
| 2–3 Oct 2010 | Morgan (face) | 44% | 38.5% | 12% | 5.5% | 55.5% | 44.5% | |
| 30 Sep–1 Oct 2010 | Essential[e 144] | 42% | 44% | 8% | 8% | 51% | 49% | |
| 21–26 Sep 2010 | Essential[e 145] | 42% | 43% | 9% | 6% | 51% | 49% | |
| 18–19 Sep 2010 | Morgan (face) | 40.5% | 41% | 13% | 5.5% | 53.5% | 46.5% | |
| 14–19 Sep 2010 | Essential[e 146] | 40% | 45% | 9% | 6% | 50% | 50% | |
| 15–16 Sep 2010 | Morgan (phone) | 35.5% | 42.5% | 15% | 7% | 50.5% | 49.5% | |
| 10–12 Sep 2010 | Newspoll | 34% | 41% | 14% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| 7–12 Sep 2010 | Essential[e 147] | 39% | 44% | 10% | 6% | 50% | 50% | |
| 31 Aug–5 Sep 2010 | Essential[e 148] | 39% | 43% | 11% | 8% | 51% | 49% | |
| 28–29 Aug/4–5 Sep 2010 | Morgan (face) | 40.5% | 39.5% | 15% | 5% | 54.5% | 45.5% | |
| 24–29 Aug 2010 | Essential[e 149] | 38% | 44% | 11% | 7% | 50% | 50% | |
| 25–26 Aug 2010 | Morgan (phone) | 36% | 40% | 13% | 11% | 51% | 49% | |
| 2010 election | 38.0% | 43.3% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 50.1% | 49.9% | ||
| c. 21 Aug 2010 | Nielsen[39] | 39% | 41.5% | 12% | 7.5% | 52% | 48% | |
| 17–19 Aug 2010 | Newspoll | 36.2% | 43.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 50.2% | 49.8% | |
| 13–19 Aug 2010 | Essential[e 150] | 38% | 43% | 12% | 7% | 51% | 49% | |
| *Liberal–National Coalition | ||||||||
Better Prime Minister and approval
Since the 2010 election, Newspoll and Nielsen have regularly polled voters as to whom they believe would be the best prime minister and on their satisfaction with the performance of the prime minister, Kevin Rudd (and previously Julia Gillard), and of the leader of the opposition, Tony Abbott.
Sources for Nielsen are provided for each poll; Newspoll maintains a database of its polling.[2]
 |
 |
| Date | Firm | Better PM | Rudd | Abbott | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudd | Abbott | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | |||
| 4–5 Sep 2013 | Newspoll | 43% | 45% | 33% | 58% | 44% | 50% | |
| 4–5 Aug 2013 | Nielsen[5] | 47% | 46% | 43% | 52% | 46% | 51% | |
| 5 Sep 2013 | ReachTEL[4] | 47.1% | 52.9% | not asked | ||||
| 4 Sep 2013 | ReachTEL[6] | 45.9% | 54.1% | not asked | ||||
| 3 Sep 2013 | ReachTEL[8] | 47.1% | 52.9% | not asked | ||||
| 30 Aug–1 Sep 2013 | Newspoll | 41% | 43% | 32% | 58% | 41% | 51% | |
| 26 Aug 2013 | ReachTEL[10] | 46.4% | 53.6% | not asked | ||||
| 23–25 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 44% | 40% | 36% | 52% | 42% | 49% | |
| 18–22 Aug 2013 | Nielsen[11] | 48% | 45% | 43% | 51% | 44% | 52% | |
| 16–18 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 43% | 41% | 35% | 54% | 41% | 51% | |
| 9–11 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 46% | 37% | 39% | 48% | 38% | 52% | |
| 10 Aug 2013 | ReachTEL[15] | 46.8% | 53.2% | not asked | ||||
| 6–8 Aug 2013 | Nielsen[17] | 50% | 42% | 48% | 47% | 45% | 52% | |
| 2–4 Aug 2013 | Newspoll | 47% | 33% | 38% | 47% | 34% | 56% | |
| 4 Aug 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 49.1% | 50.9% | not asked | ||||
| 19–21 Jul 2013 | Newspoll | 50% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 35% | 56% | |
| 18 Jul 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 52.4% | 47.6% | not asked | ||||
| 11–13 Jul 2013 | Nielsen[20] | 55% | 41% | 51% | 43% | 35% | 56% | |
| 5–7 Jul 2013 | Newspoll | 53% | 31% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 56% | |
| 28–30 Jun 2013 | Newspoll | 49% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 35% | 56% | |
| 27 Jun 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 51.6% | 48.4% | not asked | ||||
| Gillard | Abbott | Gillard | Abbott | |||||
| 21–23 Jun 2013 | Newspoll | 33% | 45% | 28% | 62% | 36% | 53% | |
| 13–15 Jun 2013 | Nielsen[22] | 41% | 50% | 36% | 61% | 44% | 53% | |
| 31 May–2 Jun 2013 | Newspoll | 35% | 43% | 28% | 62% | 37% | 53% | |
| 17–19 May 2013 | Newspoll | 39% | 40% | 31% | 59% | 37% | 54% | |
| 16–18 May 2013 | Nielsen[24] | 46% | 46% | 40% | 56% | 42% | 54% | |
| 3–5 May 2013 | Newspoll | 37% | 42% | 29% | 61% | 36% | 51% | |
| 3 May 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 40.6% | 59.4% | not asked | ||||
| 19–21 Apr 2013 | Newspoll | 35% | 40% | 30% | 60% | 36% | 53% | |
| 11–14 Apr 2013 | Nielsen[26] | 42% | 50% | 37% | 59% | 43% | 53% | |
| 4 Aug 2013 | ReachTEL[18] | 43.6% | 56.5% | not asked | ||||
| 4–7 Apr 2013 | Newspoll | 37% | 40% | 28% | 62% | 35% | 54% | |
| 22–24 Mar 2013 | Newspoll | 35% | 43% | 26% | 65% | 39% | 50% | |
| 14–16 Mar 2013 | Nielsen[29] | 43% | 49% | 38% | 58% | 43% | 53% | |
| 8–10 Mar 2013 | Newspoll | 42% | 38% | 32% | 57% | 36% | 55% | |
| 22–24 Feb 2013 | Newspoll | 36% | 40% | 30% | 58% | 33% | 55% | |
| 14–16 Feb 2013 | Nielsen[29] | 45% | 49% | 40% | 56% | 42% | 55% | |
| 1–3 Feb 2013 | Newspoll | 41% | 39% | 36% | 52% | 33% | 56% | |
| 11–13 Jan 2013 | Newspoll | 45% | 33% | 38% | 49% | 29% | 58% | |
| 13–15 Dec 2012 | Nielsen[29] | 50% | 40% | 46% | 50% | 34% | 63% | |
| 7–9 Dec 2012 | Newspoll | 43% | 34% | 36% | 52% | 28% | 59% | |
| 23–25 Nov 2012 | Newspoll | 46% | 33% | 37% | 52% | 30% | 61% | |
| 15–17 Nov 2012 | Nielsen[29] | 51% | 42% | 47% | 48% | 36% | 60% | |
| 9–11 Nov 2012 | Newspoll | 46% | 32% | 37% | 52% | 27% | 63% | |
| 26–28 Oct 2012 | Newspoll | 45% | 34% | 35% | 51% | 30% | 58% | |
| 18–20 Oct 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 50% | 40% | 47% | 48% | 37% | 60% | |
| 5–7 Oct 2012 | Newspoll | 43% | 33% | 36% | 50% | 33% | 55% | |
| 14–16 Sep 2012 | Newspoll | 46% | 32% | 36% | 52% | 30% | 60% | |
| 13–15 Sep 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 47% | 44% | 42% | 53% | 36% | 59% | |
| 2–4 Sep 2012 | Newspoll | 39% | 38% | 31% | 57% | 31% | 59% | |
| 23–25 Aug 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 46% | 45% | 39% | 57% | 39% | 57% | |
| 17–19 Aug 2012 | Newspoll | 38% | 38% | 27% | 60% | 34% | 54% | |
| 3–5 Aug 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 38% | 29% | 59% | 32% | 56% | |
| 26–28 Jul 2012 | Nielsen[32] | 43% | 48% | 37% | 58% | 39% | 56% | |
| 20–22 Jul 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 40% | 29% | 62% | 30% | 61% | |
| 6–8 Jul 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 39% | 27% | 61% | 32% | 57% | |
| 22–24 Jun 2012 | Newspoll | 39% | 38% | 30% | 59% | 31% | 58% | |
| 7–10 Jun 2012 | Newspoll | 42% | 38% | 32% | 58% | 32% | 59% | |
| 31 May–2 Jun 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 44% | 46% | 36% | 60% | 39% | 57% | |
| 25–27 May 2012 | Newspoll | 40% | 37% | 30% | 60% | 31% | 60% | |
| 11–13 May 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 40% | 27% | 63% | 34% | 56% | |
| 9–10 May 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 42% | 50% | 35% | 60% | 44% | 52% | |
| 27–29 Apr 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 41% | 28% | 63% | 33% | 55% | |
| 13–15 Apr 2012 | Newspoll | 39% | 41% | 28% | 62% | 35% | 54% | |
| 29–31 Mar 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 45% | 48% | 36% | 59% | 39% | 56% | |
| 23–25 Mar 2012 | Newspoll | 40% | 37% | 31% | 58% | 32% | 58% | |
| 9–11 Mar 2012 | Newspoll | 39% | 37% | 28% | 62% | 32% | 58% | |
| 24–26 Feb 2012 | Newspoll | 36% | 38% | 26% | 64% | 31% | 57% | |
| 22–23 Feb 2012 | Nielsen[33] | 46% | 47% | 36% | 60% | 41% | 56% | |
| 10–12 Feb 2012 | Newspoll | 37% | 40% | 32% | 57% | 36% | 52% | |
| 2–4 Feb 2012 | Nielsen[35] | 48% | 46% | 40% | 55% | 41% | 54% | |
| 27–29 Jan 2012 | Newspoll | 40% | 37% | 33% | 55% | 32% | 55% | |
| 8–10 Dec 2011 | Nielsen[35] | 42% | 46% | 35% | 58% | 41% | 53% | |
| 2–4 Dec 2011 | Newspoll | 43% | 36% | 36% | 56% | 33% | 57% | |
| 18–20 Nov 2011 | Newspoll | 40% | 35% | 34% | 55% | 34% | 55% | |
| 10–12 Nov 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 45% | 45% | 39% | 57% | 41% | 54% | |
| 4–6 Nov 2011 | Newspoll | 39% | 40% | 30% | 60% | 34% | 57% | |
| 21–23 Oct 2011 | Newspoll | 36% | 39% | 31% | 61% | 34% | 55% | |
| 13–15 Oct 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 44% | 48% | 33% | 62% | 41% | 54% | |
| 7–9 Oct 2011 | Newspoll | 35% | 40% | 28% | 60% | 36% | 53% | |
| 16–18 Sep 2011 | Newspoll | 35% | 40% | 27% | 61% | 34% | 54% | |
| 8–10 Sep 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 40% | 48% | 32% | 62% | 43% | 52% | |
| 2–4 Sep 2011 | Newspoll | 34% | 43% | 23% | 68% | 39% | 52% | |
| 19–21 Aug 2011 | Newspoll | 38% | 39% | 29% | 61% | 36% | 55% | |
| 11–13 Aug 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 44% | 47% | 38% | 57% | 43% | 52% | |
| 5–7 Aug 2011 | Newspoll | 39% | 40% | 33% | 58% | 39% | 52% | |
| 22–24 Jul 2011 | Newspoll | 40% | 41% | 32% | 59% | 39% | 52% | |
| 14–16 Jul 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 40% | 51% | 34% | 62% | 47% | 48% | |
| 8–10 Jul 2011 | Newspoll | 38% | 43% | 30% | 59% | 42% | 49% | |
| 24–26 Jun 2011 | Newspoll | 39% | 40% | 28% | 62% | 39% | 52% | |
| 14–16 Jun 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 46% | 46% | 37% | 59% | 46% | 50% | |
| 10–12 Jun 2011 | Newspoll | 41% | 38% | 30% | 55% | 35% | 52% | |
| 27–29 May 2011 | Newspoll | 44% | 37% | 35% | 54% | 37% | 53% | |
| 13–15 May 2011 | Newspoll | 42% | 38% | 34% | 55% | 38% | 51% | |
| 12–14 May 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 47% | 44% | 43% | 52% | 45% | 50% | |
| 29 Apr–1 May 2011 | Newspoll | 45% | 36% | 38% | 49% | 42% | 48% | |
| 14–16 Apr 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 50% | 42% | 45% | 50% | 42% | 51% | |
| 1–3 Apr 2011 | Newspoll | 46% | 37% | 39% | 49% | 36% | 53% | |
| 18–20 Mar 2011 | Newspoll | 50% | 31% | 40% | 47% | 33% | 54% | |
| 10–12 Mar 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 51% | 42% | 47% | 47% | 43% | 52% | |
| 4–6 Mar 2011 | Newspoll | 45% | 36% | 39% | 51% | 39% | 51% | |
| 18–20 Feb 2011 | Newspoll | 53% | 31% | 50% | 39% | 38% | 49% | |
| 10–12 Feb 2011 | Nielsen[36] | 51% | 41% | 52% | 43% | 46% | 49% | |
| 4–6 Feb 2011 | Newspoll | 48% | 35% | 45% | 42% | 42% | 44% | |
| 3–5 Dec 2010 | Newspoll | 52% | 32% | 45% | 38% | 42% | 43% | |
| 19–21 Nov 2010 | Newspoll | 54% | 31% | 46% | 37% | 42% | 45% | |
| 18–20 Nov 2010 | Nielsen[38] | 53% | 40% | 54% | 39% | 47% | 48% | |
| 5–7 Nov 2010 | Newspoll | 49% | 34% | 41% | 41% | 44% | 42% | |
| 22–24 Oct 2010 | Newspoll | 53% | 32% | 44% | 37% | 41% | 46% | |
| 21–23 Oct 2010 | Nielsen[38] | 53% | 39% | 54% | 39% | 45% | 50% | |
| 8–10 Oct 2010 | Newspoll | 52% | 31% | 48% | 33% | 39% | 47% | |
| 10–12 Sep 2010 | Newspoll | 50% | 34% | 44% | 36% | 48% | 38% | |
| 2010 election | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 17–19 Aug 2010 | Newspoll | 50% | 37% | 44% | 43% | 42% | 50% | |
| ^ Remainder were uncommitted. | ||||||||
References
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<references />, or <references group="..." />- Essential Research polling
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<references />, or <references group="..." />- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 18.2 18.3 18.4 18.5 18.6 18.7 18.8 18.9 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 20.0 20.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 26.0 26.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 29.0 29.1 29.2 29.3 29.4 29.5 29.6 29.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 30.0 30.1 30.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 31.0 31.1 31.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 32.0 32.1 32.2 32.3 32.4 32.5 32.6 32.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 33.0 33.1 33.2 33.3 33.4 33.5 33.6 33.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 34.0 34.1 34.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 35.0 35.1 35.2 35.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 36.00 36.01 36.02 36.03 36.04 36.05 36.06 36.07 36.08 36.09 36.10 36.11 36.12 36.13 36.14 36.15 36.16 36.17 36.18 36.19 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 38.0 38.1 38.2 38.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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