2022–2023 Lebanese presidential election

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2022–2023 Lebanese presidential election

← 2014–2016 29 September 2022 – ongoing 2028 →
 
Nominee Michel Moawad Issam Khalifeh Ziyad Baroud
Party Independence Movement ERROR: Use "Independent (politician)" instead of "Independent" ERROR: Use "Independent (politician)" instead of "Independent"
First Session 36 (29.5%) N/A N/A
Latest session 34 (30.63%) 7 (6.31%) 2 (1.80%)

Incumbent President

Michel Aoun
Free Patriotic Movement



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The 2022–2023 Lebanese presidential election is an ongoing indirect election to elect the president of Lebanon following the expiration of term-limited incumbent Michel Aoun's mandate on 31 October 2022.[1] The outgoing president has served since 31 October 2016, following the end of the 2-year presidential crisis.[2]

By convention, the presidency is always held by a Maronite Christian. Under article 49 of the Lebanese Constitution, a qualified majority of two-thirds of the members of the Lebanese Parliament is required to elect the president in the first round. If no candidate reaches that threshold, further rounds of election are held where an absolute majority of the members legally constituting the parliament is sufficient to elect the president. The incumbent president is not eligible for reelection until six years has passed since the expiration of his mandate, as per article 49 of the Lebanese Constitution.[3]

Background

2019–21 protests

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Large-scale anti-government demonstrations ignited in the country from 17 October. Initially triggered in response to a rise in gas and tobacco prices as well as a new tax on messaging applications,[4] the demonstrations quickly turned into a revolution against the stagnation of the economy, unemployment, Lebanon's sectarian and hereditary political system, corruption and the government's inability to provide essential services such as water, electricity and sanitation,[5] Saad Hariri ended up resigning on 29 October 2019.[6]

Hassan Diab was appointed Prime Minister by President Michel Aoun on 19 December 2019.[7] His government obtained the confidence of parliament by 69 votes in its favour.[8]

However, the country's economic situation continued to deteriorate. The government was indebted to the tune of over 95 billion dollars by the end of 2020,[9] the Lebanese pound records a loss of 70% of its value in six months[10] and unemployment affects 35% of the active population.[11] Riots break out in Beirut and Tripoli and Jounieh.[11]

Beirut explosion

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On 4 August 2020, the explosion of several thousand tons of ammonium nitrate stored in a hangar in the Port of Beirut caused considerable human and material damage across the city and the port. The final toll was 218 dead and over 7,000 injured[12] and damage estimated at nearly four billion euros by the World Bank and estimated to have left 300,000 homeless.[13] The industrial-port zone of the Port of Beirut's badly affected, further aggravating the economic situation. Vital for Lebanon, the port is the most important trading centres in Lebanon which ensures the transit of 60% of the country's imports.

Electoral system

The Constitution of Lebanon does not provide for a specific candidacy procedure. Therefore, no individuals can be deemed to be official candidates, but legally only express an interest in the position.

Under article 49 of the Lebanese Constitution, a qualified majority of two-thirds of the members of the Lebanese Parliament is required to elect the president in the first round. The quorum also amounts to two-thirds of the Parliament. In the second round, a President can be elected by a simple majority of 65 deputies. There is however ambiguity on the constitutionality of the two-thirds quorum, since constitutional texts do not explicitly mention it. Some have interpreted this omission as intentional, such as legal scholar Issam Khalifeh, while Speaker Nabih Berri has relied on the opposite interpretation to enable his allies to resort to quorum-busting. An example of this would be the 2014–2016 Lebanese presidential election, where quorum would not be met for forty-three electoral sessions.

The Constitution also states that, in the last ten days of the incumbent's tenure, the Parliament is vested in the powers of an electoral college.

National Pact

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Access to the Lebanese presidency is subject to an informal agreement known as the National Pact. Agreed in 1943, the latter limits this office only to members of the Maronite Christian faith.[14]

The National Pact is based on an unwritten agreement concluded in 1943 between the Maronite Christian president Bechara El Khoury and his Sunni prime minister Riad Al Solh when Lebanon gained independence from France. The pact stipulates that the President of the Republic must be a Maronite Christian, the Prime minister a Sunni Muslim and the Speaker of parliament a Shiite Muslim.[15]

Candidates

Declared interest

Unconfirmed

Kataeb Party

Lebanese Forces

Free Patriotic Movement

  • Gebran Bassil, MP (2018–present), incumbent party leader (2015–present) and former Minister of Telecommunications (2009–2009), Energy and Water (2009–2014) and Foreign Affairs (2014–2020)[26]
  • Nada Boustani Khoury, MP (2022–present) and former Minister of Energy and Water (2019–2020)
  • Ibrahim Kanaan, MP (2005–present) and Chairman of the Parliamentary Budget and Financial Affairs Commission (2009–present)

Other

Declined

  • Salim Eddé, CEO of Murex
  • Nassif Hitti, professor and former Minister of Foreign Affairs (2020)
  • Issam Khalifeh, historian, academic at the Lebanese University and trade unionist, first president of the National Union of Lebanese University Students

Election

First session

The first electoral session was held on 29 September 2022. The first and only round did not result in any candidate's election, due to the need to secure an absolute majority of 86 votes. Notably, 10 MPs voted for "Lebanon" while one vote went to Mahsa Amini. Before the second round, a number of deputies unexpectedly left the Chamber, leading the assembly to lose the quorum by one MP and postponing the vote.[29]

First Round[30]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 36 76.60
Salim Eddé Ind. 11 23.40
Valid votes 47 38.52
Blank votes 63 51.64
Invalid votes 12 9.84
Total 122 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 95.31

Second session

A second session was held on 13 October but failed to secure a quorum with only 71 out of 128 deputies being there due to FPM boycotting the session in memorial of 13 October 1990, below the quorum of 2/3 (86 deputies).[31][32] A third one is scheduled for 20 October[33]

Third session

A third session was held on 20 October. Michel Moawad received 42 votes, 55 MPs voted with a blank slip, one MP voted for Milad Abou Malhab. 17 MPs submitted ballots reading "New Lebanon", and one each for "Ruler, savior and reformer", "For Lebanon", "Righteous dictator" and "Nobody".[34] The second round was once again cancelled as FPM deputies left the Chamber, causing the loss of the quorum. A fourth session is scheduled for 24 October.[35]

First Round[35]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 42 97.67
Milad Abou Malhab Ind. 1 2.33
Valid votes 43 36.13
Blank votes 55 46.22
Invalid votes 21 17.65
Total 119 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 92.97

Fourth session

The fourth session to elect a president was held on October 24 with the presence of 114 deputies. In the first (and only) round, Moawad received 39 votes, while 50 blank ballots were registered, and 10 votes for Dr. Issam Khalifeh, a reputable academic nominated by a number of pro-Change MPs. A number of MPs voted "New Lebanon" as in the previous session, while Jamil Al Sayyed wrote "My Condolences" on his ballot paper. As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held.[36]

First Round[37]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 39 79.59
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 10 20.41
Valid votes 49 42.98
Blank votes 50 43.86
Invalid votes 15 13.16
Total 114 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 89.06

Vacuum

Michel Aoun signed the government's resignation decree, a day before his six-year term officially ended, and Prime Minister Najib Mikati's government remains in office in a caretaker capacity, which is unconstitutional since it goes against Aoun's request for the cabinet's step-down after numerous attempts failed to form a new cabinet.[38][39] Aoun's term officially ended in 31 October 2022 after 6 years in office, with no successor designated, similarly to his predecessors.[40][41]

Fifth session

The fifth session to elect a president was held on November 10 with the presence of 108 deputies. In the first (and only) round, Moawad received 44 votes, while 47 blank ballots were registered, 6 votes for Dr. Issam Khalifeh, a reputable academic nominated by a number of pro-Change MPs, 1 vote for former Minister Ziyad Baroud from Deputy Speaker Elias Bou Saab and 1 vote for Ziad Hayek from Elias Jaradeh. 7 MPs voted "New Lebanon" as in the previous session, while Zgharta MP Michel Douaihy wrote "Plan B" on his ballot paper and one vote went "For Lebanon". As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held.[42][43]

First Round[44]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 44 84.61
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 6 11.53
Ziyad Baroud Ind. 1 1.92
Ziad Hayek Ind. 1 1.92
Valid votes 52 48.14
Blank votes 47 43.51
Invalid votes 9 9.72
Total 108 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 84.38

Sixth session

The sixth session to elect a president was held on November 17 with the presence of 112 deputies. In the first (and only) round, Moawad received 43 votes, while 46 blank ballots were registered, 7 votes for Dr. Issam Khalifeh, 1 vote for former Minister Ziyad Baroud, 1 vote for MP Michel Daher and 1 vote for Suleiman Frangieh Jr. 9 MPs voted "New Lebanon" while 2 ballots were cancelled. As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held, a seventh session is scheduled for Thursday 24 November.[45]

First Round[46]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 43 78.18
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 7 12.73
Ziyad Baroud Ind. 3 5.45
Suleiman Frangieh Marada 1 1.82
Michel Daher Ind. 1 1.82
Valid votes 55 49.11
Blank votes 46 41.07
Invalid votes 11 9.82
Total 112 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 87.50

Seventh session

The seventh session to elect a president was held on 24 November. No candidate obtained a majority in the first round. As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held. The next session will be held in early December 2022.

First Round[47]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 42 82.35
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 6 11.76
Ziyad Baroud Ind. 2 3.92
Bedri Daher Ind. 1 1.96
Valid votes 51 46.36
Blank votes 50 45.45
Invalid votes 9 8.18
Total 110 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 85.93

Eighth session

The eighth session to elect a president was held on 1 December 2022. No candidate obtained a majority in the first round. As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held. Another session will be held on 8 December.

First Round[48][49]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 37 82.22
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 4 8.88
Ziyad Baroud Ind. 2 4.44
Bedri Daher Ind. 1 2.22
Bechara Abi Younes Ind. 1 2.22
Valid votes 45 40.54
Blank votes 52 46.84
Invalid votes 14 12.61
Total 111 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 86.71

Ninth session

The ninth session to elect a president was held on 8 December 2022. No candidate obtained a majority in the first round. As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held. Another session will be held on 15 December.

First Round[50] · [51]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 39 78.00
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 5 10.00
Bedri Daher Ind. 3 5.00
Ziyad Baroud Ind. 1 2.00
Milad Abou Malhab Ind. 1 2.00
Salah Honein Ind. 1 2.00
Valid votes 50 47.62
Blank votes 39 37.14
Invalid votes 16 15.24
Total 105 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 82.03

Tenth session

The tenth session to elect a president was held on 15 December 2022. No candidate obtained a majority in the first round. As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held. Another session will be held in January 2023. The session sheduled for 12 January 2023 was postponed by the speaker due to the death of Hussein El-Husseini.[52]

First Round[53]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 38 73.08
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 8 15.38
Ziyad Baroud Ind. 2 3.85
Salah Honein Ind. 2 3.85
Milad Abou Malhab Ind. 1 1.92
Chafic Merhi Ind. 1 1.92
Valid votes 52 47.71
Blank votes 37 33.94
Invalid votes 20 18.35
Total 109 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 85.16

Eleventh session

The eleventh session to elect a president was held on 19 January 2023. No candidate obtained a majority in the first round. As per the previous sessions, quorum was lost before a second round could be held. After the election two MP's from the Change Movement locked themselves in parliament in protest.[54]

First Round[55]
Candidate Party Votes %
Michel Moawad IM 34 75.55
Issam Khalifeh Ind. 7 15.55
Ziyad Baroud Ind. 2 4.44
Salah Honein Ind. 1 2.22
Milad Abou Malhab Ind. 1 2.22
Valid votes 45 40.54
Blank votes 37 33.33
Invalid votes 29 26.13
Total 111 100
Eligible voters/turnout 128 86.72

See also

References

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